The National Hurricane Center is saying an area of low pressure near the South Carolina and Georgia border has a 50% chance tropical development in 3-5 days. There is potential that it will move along the North Carolina Coast and possibly into the warm water allowing it to develop. Forecast models indicate it moving NE along the East Coast.
Dr. Phil Klotzbach is out with the updated Hurricane Season Forecast. He has increased the activity for this year, and now says this season will be very active. He is forecasting 20 named storms, 9 become hurricanes and 4 become major hurricanes. We have already had 5 storms this year. The most active time period is August, September and October. The reason for the increase in activity is that we will not have an El Nino this year. It will be a neutral year or a weak La Nina Year. That means we will not have the strong upper level winds to help prevent tropical development. We also have warm Tropical Water in the Atlantic Basin, and an active West African Monsoon.
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from Local Stories
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